In light (heh heh) of my last post, comes this news via Ace:
The 2013 IPCC report will now include solar effects in their “models”.
…Over the famous 11-year solar cycle, the sun’s brightness varies by just 0.1 per cent. This was seen as too small a change to impinge on the global climate system, so solar effects have generally been left out of climate models. However, the latest research has changed this view, and the next report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), due in 2013, will include solar effects in its models…
The Sun just emailed me and requested I relay this message to the IPCC:
“How’s my ass taste now bitches?” – The Sun
Ass munching bonus round – The arctic sea ice strikes back:
…Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences finds that Arctic sea ice extent at the end of the 20th century was more extensive than most of the past 9000 years…
Real scientists make mistakes. Propagandists lie.
My response in Ace’s comments:
History will record the Anthropogenic Global Warming debacle as one of the great triumphs of the scientific method, right up there with Galileo and the Roman Catholic Church.
In fact, AGW is even better, because the warmists did their level best to use the surface methods of science (although not the Scientific Method): collecting data in a wide variety of disciplines with sophisticated instruments, analyzing it with high-end math, presenting plausible models of potential mechanisms, displaying their results with computer generated charts and animated projections of temperature, sea ice coverage, and all the rest of the modern scientific publishing Panoplia Propheticus…. They really went all out.
The scientific establishment itself, a majority of real, acknowledged experts in the field, and many other scientists in other disciplines, supported the claims of AGW (and indeed, still do.)
The AGW models comported with popular opinion, and generated a huge groundswell of avid support.
Warmists also suppressed countering views, both professionally and in the popular press. They had powerful support from the political establishment, and access to funding and propaganda outlets beyond the wildest dreams of the Renaissance Church. About the only thing they couldn’t do was put their critics under house arrest.
And still, somehow, skepticism, the idea that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, finally won out. (Ironically, the skeptical “extraordinary claims” mantra was long a favorite of evolutionary biologists against the unscientific creationism movement; many of those same biologists also supported AGW.)
Someday, the person who released the CRU email archive will be recognized as the great hero of science he is; we may even learn his name, although frankly, I love the fact that he remains anonymous. Although the archive was not itself dispositive, it was the breach in the dike that proved the dike even existed, something that had itself been hotly denied up to that point.
Once again, we humans turn out not to be the center of the universe.
“It cools, anyway. And warms, and goes up and down and all around, and there’s not much we can do to stop it.”
I’ve been looking for an excuse to say that for awhile now.
[edit: add link to Ace, distinguish between "methods of science" and "scientific method", and make a couple of additional minor clarifications.]