Prediction: Heller Will Be Upheld

Over at Snowflakes in Hell, I make my public prediction on the outcome of Heller, the D.C. gun prohibition case before the U.S. Supreme Court:

I predict the court will agree with the individual rights model, and make the gesture of overturning D.C.’s laws, but will then set the standard of review such that anything short of that effective ban will pass muster. Long-term, they will tend to uphold state court decisions, no matter which way those decisions cut.

This prediction subject to revision after orals, when the Justice’s questions and attitudes will give us the first clues as to how they feel.

(Note: I am not an experienced SC watcher, or even a lawyer, and am basically talking out of my ass. )

[Update: Damn, forgot to include the link to Sebastian. Fixed.]

Leave a Reply